Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/24/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 24, 2024

Updated Mar 24, 2024 10:46 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has posted 9.2 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's posted in all games this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 30.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
The fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Chet Holmgren will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production across the board.

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