Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 14, 2024

Updated Mar 15, 2024 1:56 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has tallied 7.3 defensive boards per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 77th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 30.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
The 3rd-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Thunder.
The Thunder will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Chet Holmgren will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally raises player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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