Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 3:11 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has totaled 2.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games away from home, 0.9 higher than he's totaled overall this season on the road.
Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 30.0 minutes per game on the road this year.
The 3rd-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Portland Trail Blazers have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren lands in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.6 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Chet Holmgren will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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