Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 4, 2024 2:47 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has posted 8.0 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's posted over the course of the year.
Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 30.0 minutes per game away from home this year.
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see an increase in plays today from facing the 2nd-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Suns have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player production across the board.

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