Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 11, 2024

Updated Feb 12, 2024 4:06 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has averaged 7.4 defensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
Chet Holmgren has averaged 30.4 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Thunder.
The Kings have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to increase player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.3 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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