Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 23, 2024

Updated Jan 24, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+112/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has tallied 5.7 defensive boards per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 94th percentile.
Chet Holmgren has played 30.0 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while on their home court.
Chet Holmgren stands to get a boost in performance in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have snagged 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (preserving possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).

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