Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has posted 6.2 defensive boards per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.
Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren places in the 78th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 30.1 minutes per game this year.
The 8th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Thunder.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road.
The Thunder will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.
While playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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