Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has tallied 6.1 defensive boards per game this year on the road, putting him among the best in the NBA in this category over this stretch: 95th percentile.
Chet Holmgren has tallied 29.7 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Thunder have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Over the last 25 games, their opposition has secured 8.9 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Thunder will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Heat).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease player production in all facets of the game.

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