Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Brooklyn Nets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 12:25 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has compiled 6.6 defensive rebounds per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.
Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 75th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 29.1 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team.

Favors Under

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
The Nets have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player production for all stats.

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