Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New York Knicks · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has totaled 5.4 defensive boards per game this year at home, putting him among the league's best in this category in recent days: 92nd percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren places in the 75th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 30.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while at home.
The New York Knicks have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
While on the road, the Knicks have allowed the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren registers in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.8 fouls per game this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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