Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs LA Clippers · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 1:15 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has totaled 6.3 defensive boards per game this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the hottest players in the league in this category over this stretch of games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home.
Chet Holmgren will likely see an increase in output for all stats considering owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren places in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have captured 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Clippers (retaining possessions that can result in further chances for offense).

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