Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 2:54 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has totaled 6.7 defensive rebounds per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Kings have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should boost opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
This year, opposing clubs have brought down 9.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with just 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Chet Holmgren should see a decline in output in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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