Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has posted 6.9 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 96th percentile.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 7.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Without the home court advantage, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren stands to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

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