Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has compiled 2.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.7 higher than he's compiled in all games this year on the road.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should raise possessions for the Thunder.
Chet Holmgren is expected to see a rise in effectiveness across the board in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.8 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
The Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing squads have snagged 12.7 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Lakers (preserving possessions that can produce additional opportunities for offense).

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