Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 3:12 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has compiled 2.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.5 higher than he's compiled overall this season on the road.
The 10th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to increase opportunities for the Thunder.

Favors Under

The Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have grabbed 13.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (preserving possessions that can bring about additional chances for offense).
Chet Holmgren is expected to suffer a reduction in output in all facets of the game considering playing away from hom in this game.

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