Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 4:03 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has compiled 7.4 defensive rebounds per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league leaders in this category.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren registers in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.6 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 1stworst in in the league when playing at home with only 6.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Warriors have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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