Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 16, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has averaged 7.0 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 96th percentile.
The 3rd-speediest pace home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Thunder.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, which should decrease possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has nabbed 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors (preserving possessions that can produce added chances for offense).
Chet Holmgren ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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