Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 1:38 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has put up 2.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 higher than he's put up overall this year.
Chet Holmgren has averaged 27.5 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 76th percentile.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace road team in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Kings).
Since the start of last season when they are on the road, their opposition has grabbed 9.8 offensive boards per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise result in more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game while on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren ought to experience a decrease in performance across the board in light of being on the road in this game.

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