Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has totaled 2.2 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 92nd percentile.
Chet Holmgren has tallied 30.0 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The 10th-most up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 6thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 11.1 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
Chet Holmgren ought to see an increase in production for all stats on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

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