Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has averaged 5.8 defensive rebounds per game while on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Thunder are expected to get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year (the Hawks).
The Thunder check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has secured 9.8 offensive boards per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Hawks (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren slots into the 99th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 3.5 fouls per game playing at home since the start of last season.

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