Chet Holmgren Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 11:42 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has tallied 5.5 defensive boards per game away from his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 6thbest in in the league as the road team with 11.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
On the road, the Pelicans have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game while at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

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