Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2026

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 9, 2026

Updated May 9, 2026 11:28 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 5.6 three attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, branding this as a positive matchup.

Favors Under

The 10th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Lakers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA as the visting team with only 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against the Lakers may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.2 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).

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