Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2026

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 23, 2026

Updated Mar 23, 2026 10:48 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of scoring, the Thunder's terrific 119.3 points per game while playing away from home ranks 4th-strongest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Philadelphia is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Philadelphia 76ers are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 2nd-highest three rate in the NBA this year (45.6%).
The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to more possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against Philadelphia may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the 76ers are playing at home (7th-least in the league).

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