Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2026

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 7, 2026

Updated Mar 7, 2026 8:49 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to offense, the Thunder's superb 118.9 points per game comes in as the 5th-most in the league this year.
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Warriors have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which should raise possessions for the Thunder.

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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