Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2026

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

New York Knicks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 4, 2026

Updated Mar 5, 2026 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+150/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Thunder check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have shot 18.6% on threes (worst in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, resulting in a hard matchup.
The Knicks have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league while on the road with a mere 8.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the New York Knicks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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