Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2026

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 3, 2026

Updated Mar 4, 2026 2:48 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Bulls).
The matchup against the Bulls may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.9 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Bulls is a difficult one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 3rd-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.5).
The 10th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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