Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2026

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 22, 2026

Updated Feb 22, 2026 11:38 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's terrific 119.7 points per game rates 3rd-most in the NBA this year.
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

The matchup against Cleveland is a hard one; when the Cavaliers are away from home, they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (13.5).
The 5th-most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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