Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2026

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Feb 7, 2026

Updated Feb 7, 2026 8:23 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's fantastic 120.2 points per game places most in the NBA this year.
The Thunder have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.4 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Rockets is a hard one for 3-point shots; opposing starting PFs have shot for the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (21.7%).
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the most lethargic pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Houston Rockets).
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 9.1 offensive boards per game this year.

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