Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2026

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 1, 2026

Updated Feb 2, 2026 2:28 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's stellar 120.3 points per game rates most in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Thunder will likely see a decline in plays today from competing against the least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the visting team with just 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

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