Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2026

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 29, 2026

Updated Jan 30, 2026 2:18 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-116/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 14.5 points per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, resulting in a hard matchup for offensive output.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league without the home court advantage with only 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against Minnesota is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 3.1 free throws per game this year when the Minnesota Timberwolves have the home court advantage (9th-least in the league).

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