Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2026

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 23, 2026

Updated Jan 24, 2026 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to offense, the Thunder's impressive 121.4 points per game rates strongest in the league this year.
The 4th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
The Thunder are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 6th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Indiana Pacers).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Pacers is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (2.5).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 9.0 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 17 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the Pacers, making it tough to draw fouls.

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