Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2026

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 21, 2026

Updated Jan 22, 2026 2:33 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-111/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's exceptional 121.4 points per game measures as the highest in the NBA this year.
The 8th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

The Bucks have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league as the road team with only 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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