Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2026

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 17, 2026

Updated Jan 17, 2026 11:49 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
The Miami Heat have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA on the road with a mere 9.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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