Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2026

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat · Jan 11, 2026

Updated Jan 12, 2026 1:39 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-124/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to offense, the Thunder's exceptional 121.3 points per game settles in as the 2nd-most in the NBA this year.
The 3rd-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
The Thunder are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).

Favors Under

The Thunder check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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