Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2026

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 4, 2026

Updated Jan 5, 2026 2:14 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-134/+117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -235 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's fantastic 122.4 points per game ranks 2nd-strongest in the NBA this year.
The 7th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

The Thunder will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 8th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Suns).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.

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