Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 28, 2025

Updated Dec 29, 2025 4:20 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-116/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 40.8% on threes (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, branding this as a strong matchup.
The 7th-speediest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The matchup against Philadelphia may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the 76ers are the visiting team (9th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The 76ers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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