Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 19, 2025

Updated Dec 20, 2025 4:09 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The 8th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 14 games (the Timberwolves).

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PFs have logged 14.5 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, labeling this as a hard matchup for offensive productivity.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 7.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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