Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 13, 2025

Updated Dec 14, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to shooting, the Thunder's fantastic 123.6 points per game settles in as the highest in the league over the last 25 games.
The Thunder have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Spurs have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have averaged 9.8 field goal attempts per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, creating a hard matchup.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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