Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 26, 2025

Updated Nov 27, 2025 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 122.6 points per game places 3rd-highest in the league this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have logged 14.5 points per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, identifying this as a tough matchup for offensive productivity.
The 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the league while at home with just 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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