Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/23/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 23, 2025

Updated Nov 23, 2025 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-101/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has logged a whopping 19.3 points per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 15.1 points per game last year.
When it comes to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's excellent 122.7 points per game rates 4th-highest in the league this year.
The Thunder will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 9 games (the Trail Blazers).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers is a hard one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PFs have posted the 4th-lowest three rate in the league this year (29.6%).
The 7th-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Portland may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Portland Trail Blazers are away from home (2nd-least in the league).

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