Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 21, 2025

Updated Nov 22, 2025 2:52 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-112/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Utah is a positive one; when the Jazz are at home, they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (24.0).
The Thunder are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 9 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.6 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Thunder.
As a team, the Thunder have been poor at getting to the charity stripe: 10th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a lowly 24.4 foul shots per game.

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