Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 19, 2025

Updated Nov 20, 2025 3:44 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-126/-101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's stellar 121.6 points per game comes in as the 5th-most in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 52.6% on field goals (6th-best in the league) vs. the Kings, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely get a boost in plays in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Kings).

Favors Under

The 6th-slowest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Sacramento Kings may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

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