Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 15, 2025

Updated Nov 15, 2025 11:48 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has tallied an impressive 18.7 points per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 15.1 points per game last season.
As it relates to scoring, the Thunder's exceptional 122.5 points per game settles in as the 4th-most in the league this year.
The matchup against Charlotte is a strong one for field goals; when the Charlotte Hornets are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have totaled the most field goals per game in the league this year (8.7).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Thunder are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hornets).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 3rdworst in in the league with a mere 9.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).

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