Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 12, 2025

Updated Nov 13, 2025 4:54 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.6).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 12 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Thunder's feeble 34.1% rate of drained threes measures as the 10th-worst in the NBA this year.
The Lakers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Thunder.
Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Lakers, making it tough to draw fouls.

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