Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 11, 2025

Updated Nov 12, 2025 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-118/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 14.4 shot attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, branding this as a positive matchup.
The Thunder will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 11 games (the Warriors).
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The 5th-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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