Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 5, 2025

Updated Nov 5, 2025 9:49 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to scoring, the Thunder's terrific 122.6 points per game settles in as the 5th-strongest in the league this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Thunder.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.0 free throws per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a tough one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 4th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (29.6%).
The 5th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Thunder.
The Thunder rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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