Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 10/21/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Oct 21, 2025

Updated Oct 21, 2025 11:24 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-280/+205).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -220 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -280.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren measures in the 79th percentile, putting up an enormous 15.1 points per game since the start of last season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 89th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, compiling a whopping 4.2 free throw attempts per game since the start of last season.
The matchup against the Rockets is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.4 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 21.7% on 3-pointers (lowest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, branding this as a hard matchup.

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