Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 6/22/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers · Jun 22, 2025

Updated Jun 23, 2025 3:53 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has attempted 13.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 2.6 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league while playing at home this year.
The Thunder will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 8th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Indiana Pacers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 10th-best in in the league with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 23 games.
Chet Holmgren has made 96.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 20.9% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (76th percentile).
The matchup against the Pacers is a hard one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the league this year (2.5).
With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Oklahoma City Thunder's feeble 21.3 free throw attempts per game when playing at home comes in as the 9th-worst in the NBA this year.

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