Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 6/19/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jun 19, 2025

Updated Jun 20, 2025 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has tallied 15.2 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 82nd percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren places in the 77th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 28.5 minutes per game this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA this year.
The Pacers have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should increase possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunder rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 2.5 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, branding this as a hard matchup.
Chet Holmgren will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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