Chet Holmgren Points - Player Prop Bet 6/16/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers · Jun 16, 2025

Updated Jun 17, 2025 12:18 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/+101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 77th percentile, logging a whopping 14.2 points per game while on his home court this year.
The Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing at home.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Thunder.
Chet Holmgren has successfully made 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's made over the course of the year.

Favors Under

This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 2.5 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Pacers, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 8thworst in in the NBA as the home team with just 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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